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- January 25, 2019
How Should We Then Invest?
"To be absolutely certain about something, one must know everything or nothing about it."
Read more"To be absolutely certain about something, one must know everything or nothing about it."
Read moreThe production of souls is more important than the production of tanks.... And therefore I raise my glass to you, writers, the engineers of the human soul.
Read moreFor a couple of years now, the economic narrative has shown a comparatively strong US against weakness in Europe and some of Asia (NOT China). The US, we are told, will stay on top. I agree with that, as far as it goes... but I’m not convinced the “top” will be so great.
Read moreDouble, double, toil and trouble;
Fire burn and cauldron bubble.
…By the pricking of my thumbs,
Something wicked this way comes.
- William Shakespeare, Macbeth, Act IV, Scene I, 1606
Read moreThe Debt Supercycle theory traces the increasing transfer of private debt to government balance sheets, highlighting its implications, the unique constraints of government debt management, and potential future scenarios—including the limits of government borrowing, the role of bond vigilantes, and the risk of a major fiscal crisis if current trends continue.
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