Thoughts from the Frontline Archive, October 2018

The Real Cost of Low-Fee Funds
  • October 19, 2018

The Real Cost of Low-Fee Funds

Today, rather than tackle some big macroeconomic issue, we’ll go back to this letter’s roots and look at market timing and portfolio construction issues. I expect this will get both enthusiastic support and at the same time, make a number of readers uncomfortable—if not annoyed.

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Red Hot China Mailbag
  • October 12, 2018

Red Hot China Mailbag

An odd aspect of being a writer is you never know in advance what will excite readers. I’ve written letters I thought very provocative only to draw mostly yawns.

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The Trade Deficit Isn’t the Boogeyman
  • October 5, 2018

The Trade Deficit Isn’t the Boogeyman

I have to confess something: I run a huge trade deficit. It’s not with China or Mexico, but with Amazon. I buy all sorts of goods from them and Jeff Bezos has yet to spend a penny with me. It’s just not fair.

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The Coming Supercycle Crisis

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The Debt Supercycle theory traces the increasing transfer of private debt to government balance sheets, highlighting its implications, the unique constraints of government debt management, and potential future scenarios—including the limits of government borrowing, the role of bond vigilantes, and the risk of a major fiscal crisis if current trends continue.

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