The bust is over: buy this stock (900% gains last time)
This article appears courtesy of RiskHedge, LLC.
“Follow the smart money.”
We’ve all heard this saying.
It means if you want to make big money in the markets, do the following:
Find the smartest investors, buy the stocks they buy, and watch your money grow alongside theirs.
It’s one of the simplest ways to profit in the stock market.
Today, a handful of the world’s smartest and richest “investors” have their sights on one specific corner of the market. In fact, one of these “investors” has already made a historic $70 billion bet. And more are rumored to join the party soon...
The best part? By piggybacking on their big bets, we can potentially double our money over the next 12 months.
So what’s got their attention?
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VIDEO GAMES.
The video game industry is colossal. There are over three billion active video game players around the globe. Last year, global gaming revenues hit $180 billion. That’s 3X as much as 10 years ago.
Gaming is now larger than the film and music industries combined!
Disney is America’s largest movie studio by a long shot. Yet, it makes less money than Microsoft’s Xbox gaming sales.
Why are video games the largest force in entertainment? Simple:
- Video games are the only form of entertainment that keeps improving.
Think about it… when was your favorite book written? Likely decades ago.
When’s the last time you saw a truly funny new comedy series?
You can’t convince me we’ll see a better movie than The Matrix, Se7en, or Pulp Fiction, all of which came out in the 1990s.
Everyone loves music from the ‘70s, ‘80s, and ‘90s. But who’s raving about the songs that top the charts today?
Gaming is the total opposite. Remember the arcade game Pong? Two rectangles and a dot. This is what video games were 50 years ago:
Source: Atari
Today, hit games have stunning movie-like graphics. Look at Red Dead Redemption 2:
Source: Rockstar Games
Games improve every year. Better graphics… better gameplay… more immersive worlds you can lose yourself in. This has attracted a billion new gamers in the past five years alone.
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But gaming stocks have been a different story.
Video game stocks go through boom-and-bust cycles. They surge in price... often for years… then they run out of steam and decline.
For example, look at Activision Blizzard (ATVI). It’s one of the most valuable game producers.
Over the past decade, it saw two boom-and-bust cycles. One from 2013 to 2018. And one from 2019 to mid-2021.
Same for Electronic Arts (EA), another massive gaming studio.
The boom-and-bust cycle of gaming stocks can be dangerous for investors who don’t understand it…
But if you buy at the right time—near the tail end of a bust—you can make incredible returns.
If you bought Activision during the last two busts, your average return would be 400%.
Ditto for EA. Its stock doubled since the bottom of the last cycle. EA shot up 1,200% the time before that.
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Where are we in the cycle today?
The big three video game makers are down double digits over the past 14 months. EA is down 11%, ATVI has fallen 16%, and Take Two Interactive (TTWO) has dropped 26%.
We’re in a classic video game stock bust.
And some of the world’s smartest “investors” are taking advantage. I’m talking about the biggest, most dominant companies on the planet.
Earlier this year, Microsoft (MSFT) announced it’s buying Activision Blizzard in a monumental $70 billion deal. It’s set to go through next summer. It’s Microsoft’s largest acquisition ever... Its previous largest deal, LinkedIn, cost $26 billion.
Netflix (NFLX) bought its third gaming studio earlier this year.
Amazon (AMZN), Disney (DIS), and Apple (AAPL) have been rumored to be in talks with Electronic Arts. In fact, just a few weeks ago, Amazon was rumored to be buying EA for around $35 billion. And while the news was later shot down... I wouldn’t be surprised if one of these big names—or another huge player—makes an official bid for EA soon.
These are some of the most successful companies in history. They know what you now know: Video games are growing unstoppably, and video game companies are trading for no-brainer prices after a multi-year bust.
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Here’s how you can capitalize on this opportunity…
My favorite video game stock right now is Take Two Interactive (TTWO).
Take Two has produced many of the most popular games of the past few years.
It’s the owner of the popular Grand Theft Auto game. The last version sold 170 million copies and made about $6 billion.
Take Two also developed Red Dead Redemption 2—it was an overwhelming success. The game sold $725 million in revenue in three days. It was the highest-earning video game opening weekend of all time—and the biggest opening weekend in the history of entertainment.
In short, Take Two knows how to produce great games… and how to make money from them. It has quadrupled its sales over the past decade.
Right now, it’s experiencing a classic gaming bust.
If you bought Take Two during its last two bust cycles, you could have made average returns of 900%.
I’m expecting the stock to at least double over the next 12 months.
Stephen McBride
Editor — Disruption Investor
Stephen McBride is editor of the popular investment advisory Disruption Investor. Stephen and his team hunt for disruptive stocks that are changing the world and making investors wealthy in the process. Go here to discover one of Stephen’s top investment themes and to try a risk-free subscription.
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This article appears courtesy of RiskHedge, LLC. RiskHedge publishes investment research and is independent of Mauldin Economics. Mauldin Economics may earn an affiliate commission from purchases you make at RiskHedge.com